East at 15 to 20 knots.
Rough with a wave height of 4 to 6 feet.
*CSU released its first seasonal forecast for 2024 on Thursday, April 4.
We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active.
Current El Niño conditions are likely to transition to La Niña conditions this summer/fall, leading to hurricane-favorable wind shear conditions. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic are currently at record warm levels and are anticipated to remain well above average for the upcoming hurricane season. A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic provides a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification. This forecast is of above-normal confidence for an early April outlook. We anticipate a well above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 202?
| Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Average (in parentheses) | Issued Date 4 April 2024 |
| Named Storms (NS) (14.4) | 23 |
| Hurricanes (H) (7.2) | 11 |
| Major Hurricanes (MH) (3.2) | 5 |
By: CSU University Communications Staff
STORM NAME | DATES ACTIVE | STAGE |
Alberto |
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Beryl |
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Chris |
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Debby |
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Ernesto |
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Francine |
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Gordon |
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Helene | ||
Isaac | ||
Joyce |
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Kirk |
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Leslie |
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Milton |
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Nadine |
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Oscar |
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Patty |
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Rafael |
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Sara |
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Tony |
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Valerie |
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William |
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