East to northeast at 10 to 15 knots.
Slight to moderate with a wave height of 2 to 4 feet.
CSU released its final forecast for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, 3 August.
We maintain our forecast for an above-average 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.
While a robust El Niño has developed and is likely to persist for the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, most of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic has record warm sea surface temperatures for this time of year. El Niño increases vertical wind shear in the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic, but the extreme anomalous warmth in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic is anticipated to counteract some of the typical El Niño-driven increase in vertical wind shear. The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be above the long-period average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2023
Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Average (in parentheses) | Issue Date 3 August 2023 |
Named Storms (NS) (14.4) | 18 |
Hurricanes (H) (7.2) | 9 |
Major Hurricanes (MH) (3.2) | 4 |
By: CSU University Communications Staff