East to northeast at 5 to 10 knots.
Slight with a wave height of 1 to 3 feet.
Well above average activity expected for the 2022 hurricane season
Colorado State University (CSU) has increased the total number of storms expected for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season. This is due in part to cool neutral ENSO or weak La Nina condition and above average sea surface temperatures across portions of the Atlantic Ocean.
The following is the adjusted prediction from CSU.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2022
Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Average (in parentheses) | Issue Date 2 JUNE 2022 |
Named Storms (NS) (14.4) | 20 |
Hurricanes (H) (7.2) | 10 |
Major Hurricanes (MH) (3.2) | 5 |
By: CSU University Communications Staff
STORM NAME | DATES ACTIVE | STAGE |
ALEX | JUN 5 - 7 | TS |
BONNIE | JUL 1 - 11 | MH |
COLIN | JUL 2 - 3 | TS |
DANIELLE | SEP 1 - 8 | H |
EARL | SEP 2 - 10 | H |
GASTON | SEP 20 - 26 | TS |
HERMINE | SEP 23 - 25 | TS |
IAN | SEP 23 - OCT 1 | MH |
JULIA | OCT 6 - 9 | H |
KARL | OCT 11 - 14 | TS |
LISA | OCT 31 - NOV 5 | H |
MARTIN | NOV 1 - 3 | H |
NICOLE | NOV 7 - 11 | H |
Overall, the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season featured near normal activity in terms of the number of named storms and hurricanes, but was slightly below average in terms of the number of major hurricanes. In 2022, fourteen named storms formed, of which eight became hurricanes, and two became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
This compares to the long-term (1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2022 was slightly below average. The ACE for 2022 is 80 percent of the long-term (1991-2020) mean. Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the National Hurricane Center website at www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2022&basin=atl